Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Roubini On The Dollar Carry Reversal, And Why He Is Only Half Way There

economist Nouriel Roubini

Image by Esthr via Flickr

by Tyler Durden

Nouriel has a great op-ed in the FT, discussing the imminent reversal of the dollar carry trade, a topic Zero Hedge has been harping on for quite some time: not because we believe that in the long run America will stabilize its economy (on the contrary), but because in a globalized economy (yes, a sad side effect of $1.4 quadrillion in derivatives is the fungibility of declining asset leverage) economies are relative, not absolute concepts. While our biggest pet peeve has to do with the lack of contrarian thought in whatever the groupthink trade de jour is (when everyone is on the same side of the boat, it always inevitably capsizes), Nouriel is similarly unimpressed with what he sees is doomed to end badly for so many institutional and retail traders who are part of the herd mentality. Never one to mince words, Roubini's conclusion is scary:

Roubini On The Dollar Carry Reversal, And Why He Is Only Half Way There

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